Articles

There are several terrible pandemic catastrophes known in world history, as a result of which scientists periodically tried to form the correct sequences of actions leading to a system of measures that exclude a high probability of re-occurrence. The effectiveness of the proposed systems of measures, with varying degrees of success, are confirmed in practice, which allows us to subsequently judge the correct, complete, and timely application of each specific anti-epidemic system. Currently, ther...

Healthcare systems in countries around the world are becoming more complex every year. The number of automated processes in the industry, the requirements for forecasting these processes, and the efficiency of managing the entire system are increasing with digital transformation. Simulation modelling allows us to imagine the state of processes under real conditions to identify the most important processes and operations. This article is devoted to the creation of an information model of the clin...

Knowing the parameters of the infectious and epidemic process allows us to make a forecast and calculate the amount of exposure to infectious morbidity. On the basis of real data of registered cases of the disease, mathematical modelling of serial morbidity increases was carried out. The parameters and initial conditions of five viral infections (mumps, chickenpox, rubella, measles and viral hepatitis A) were determined. The reproductive number ranged at 2.4–5.3, while the oscillation am...